Illinois House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John M. Shimkus a 100% chance of winning the Illinois House 2014 primary. John M. Shimkus won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John M. Shimkus — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Eric Thorsland — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts