Illinois House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tammy Duckworth a 95% chance of winning the Illinois House 2014 primary. Tammy Duckworth won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tammy Duckworth — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Larry Kaifesh — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts