Illinois House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter J. Roskam a 69% chance of winning the Illinois House 2014 primary. Peter J. Roskam won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Peter J. Roskam — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Mason — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts