Iowa Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joni Ernst a 100% chance of winning the Iowa Senate 2014 primary. Joni Ernst won, matching the model's top pick.
- Joni Ernst — 100% model odds (won)
- Bruce Braley — 0% model odds
- Rick Stewart — 0% model odds
- Douglas Butzier — 0% model odds
- Bob Quast — 0% model odds
- Ruth Smith — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds