Iowa House 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mariannette Miller-Meeks a 69% chance of winning the Iowa House 2014 primary. Dave Loebsack won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks — 69% model odds
- Dave Loebsack — 31% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 0% model odds