Hawaii Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Schatz a 100% chance of winning the Hawaii Senate 2014 primary. Brian Schatz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Schatz — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Cam Cavasso — 0% model odds
  3. Michael Kokoski — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts