Florida House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Southerland an 88% chance of winning the Florida House 2014 primary. Gwen Graham won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Steve Southerland — 88% model odds
  2. Gwen Graham — 12% model odds (won)
  3. Luther Lee — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts