Connecticut House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elizabeth Esty a 79% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2014 primary. Elizabeth Esty won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Elizabeth Esty — 79% model odds (won)
2. Mark Greenberg — 21% model odds
3. Elizabeth Esty — 0% model odds
4. John J. Pistone — 0% model odds
5. Mark Greenberg — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts