Connecticut House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Himes a 57% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2014 primary. Jim Himes won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jim Himes — 57% model odds (won)
  2. Dan Debicella — 43% model odds
  3. Jim Himes — 0% model odds
  4. Dan Debicella — 0% model odds
  5. Stephen A. Miller — 0% model odds
  6. Sophie E. Pastore — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts