Arizona House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kyrsten Sinema a 63% chance of winning the Arizona House 2014 primary. Kyrsten Sinema won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kyrsten Sinema — 63% model odds (won)
2. Wendy Rogers — 37% model odds
3. Powell Gammill — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts