Arizona House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raul Grijalva a 100% chance of winning the Arizona House 2014 primary. Raul Grijalva won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Raul Grijalva — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Gabby Saucedo Mercer — 0% model odds
  3. F. Sánchez — 0% model odds
  4. Lee Thompson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts