Arizona House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Martha Mcsally a 63% chance of winning the Arizona House 2014 primary. Martha Mcsally won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Martha Mcsally — 63% model odds (won)
2. Ron Barber — 37% model odds
3. Sampson U. Ramirez — 0% model odds
4. Sydney Dudikoff — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts