AS House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Aumua Amata a 100% chance of winning the AS House 2014 primary. Aumua Amata won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Aumua Amata — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Eni F. H. Faleomavaega — 0% model odds
  3. Togiola Tulafono — 0% model odds
  4. Mapu S. Jamias — 0% model odds
  5. Rosie Fuala'Au Tago Lancaster — 0% model odds
  6. Meleagi Suitonu-Chapman — 0% model odds
  7. Tuika Tuika — 0% model odds
  8. Tuā'Au Kereti, Jr. Māta'Utia — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts