Arkansas Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Cotton a 63% chance of winning the Arkansas Senate 2014 primary. Tom Cotton won, matching the model's top pick.
- Tom Cotton — 63% model odds (won)
- Mark H. Swaney — 37% model odds
- Mark Pryor — 0% model odds
- Nathan Lafrance — 0% model odds
- Scott Pfleegor — 0% model odds