Arkansas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bruce Westerman a 95% chance of winning the Arkansas House 2014 primary. Bruce Westerman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bruce Westerman — 95% model odds (won)
  2. James Lee Witt — 5% model odds
  3. Ken Hamilton — 0% model odds
  4. Janis K. Percefull — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts