Arkansas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave French Hill an 89% chance of winning the Arkansas House 2014 primary. French Hill won, matching the model's top pick.

1. French Hill — 89% model odds (won)
2. Patrick Henry Hays — 11% model odds
3. Debbie Standiford — 0% model odds
4. Charles Neely — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts