Alaska Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Sullivan a 95% chance of winning the Alaska Senate 2014 primary. Dan Sullivan won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dan Sullivan — 95% model odds (won)
2. Mark Begich — 5% model odds
3. Mark S. # Fish — 0% model odds
4. Ted Gianoutsos — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts