Wyoming Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Barrasso an 83% chance of winning the Wyoming Senate 2024 primary. John Barrasso won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Barrasso — 83% model odds (won)
2. John Holtz — 11% model odds
3. Reid Rasner — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts