West Virginia Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Justice an 18% chance of winning the West Virginia Senate 2024 primary. Jim Justice won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jim Justice — 18% model odds (won)
  2. Alex Mooney — 18% model odds
  3. Bryan Bird — 18% model odds
  4. Zane Lawhorn — 12% model odds
  5. Bryan Mckinney — 12% model odds
  6. Janet Mcnulty — 12% model odds
  7. Don Lindsay — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts