West Virginia Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Justice an 88% chance of winning the West Virginia Senate 2024 primary. Jim Justice won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jim Justice — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Glenn Elliott — 12% model odds
  3. David Moran — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts