West Virginia Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Morrisey a 73% chance of winning the West Virginia Governor 2024 primary. Patrick Morrisey won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Patrick Morrisey — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Steve Williams — 27% model odds
  3. Erika Kolenich — 0% model odds
  4. S. Marshall Wilson — 0% model odds
  5. Chase Linko-Looper — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts