Wisconsin Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tammy Baldwin an 89% chance of winning the Wisconsin Senate 2024 primary. Tammy Baldwin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tammy Baldwin — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Eric Hovde — 11% model odds
  3. Phil Anderson — 0% model odds
  4. Thomas Leager — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts