Washington Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bob Ferguson an 11% chance of winning the Washington Governor 2024 primary. Bob Ferguson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bob Ferguson — 11% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Mullet — 11% model odds
  3. Cassondra Hanson — 11% model odds
  4. El'Ona Kearney — 11% model odds
  5. Don Rivers — 11% model odds
  6. Chaytan Inman — 11% model odds
  7. Ricky Anthony — 11% model odds
  8. Fred Grant — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts