Vermont Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Esther Charlestin a 50% chance of winning the Vermont Governor 2024 primary. Esther Charlestin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Esther Charlestin — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Peter Duval — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts