Utah Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Curtis an 18% chance of winning the Utah Senate 2024 primary. Trent Staggs won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- John Curtis — 18% model odds
- Brad Wilson — 16% model odds
- Chandler Tanner — 9% model odds
- Josh Randall — 9% model odds
- Brian Jenkins — 9% model odds
- Jeremy Friedbaum — 9% model odds
- Jason Walton — 8% model odds
- Trent Staggs — 7% model odds (won)