Utah Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Curtis a 100% chance of winning the Utah Senate 2024 primary. John Curtis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Curtis — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Caroline Gleich — 0% model odds
  3. Carlton Bowen — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts