Tennessee Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marsha Blackburn a 94% chance of winning the Tennessee Senate 2024 primary. Marsha Blackburn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Marsha Blackburn — 94% model odds (won)
  2. Tres Wittum — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts