Tennessee Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marsha Blackburn a 95% chance of winning the Tennessee Senate 2024 primary. Marsha Blackburn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Marsha Blackburn — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Gloria Johnson — 5% model odds
  3. Tharon Chandler — 0% model odds
  4. Pamela Moses — 0% model odds
  5. Hastina Robinson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts