Rhode Island Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sheldon Whitehouse a 96% chance of winning the Rhode Island Senate 2024 primary. Sheldon Whitehouse won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sheldon Whitehouse — 96% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Costa — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts