Pennsylvania Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bob Casey Jr. an 89% chance of winning the Pennsylvania Senate 2024 primary. Dave Mccormick won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Bob Casey Jr. — 89% model odds
- Dave Mccormick — 11% model odds (won)
- John Thomas — 0% model odds
- Leila Hazou — 0% model odds
- Marty Selker — 0% model odds