New York Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kirsten Gillibrand a 100% chance of winning the New York Senate 2024 primary. Kirsten Gillibrand won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Kirsten Gillibrand — 100% model odds
- Kirsten Gillibrand — 0% model odds
- Kirsten Gillibrand — 0% model odds (won)
- Mike Sapraicone — 0% model odds
- Mike Sapraicone — 0% model odds
- Mike Sapraicone — 0% model odds
- Diane Sare — 0% model odds