Nevada Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jacky Rosen an 85% chance of winning the Nevada Senate 2024 primary. Jacky Rosen won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jacky Rosen — 85% model odds (won)
2. Of These Candidates — 6% model odds
3. Mike Schaefer — 5% model odds
4. Troy Zakari Walker — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts