Nevada Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jacky Rosen an 89% chance of winning the Nevada Senate 2024 primary. Jacky Rosen won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jacky Rosen — 89% model odds (won)
2. Sam Brown — 11% model odds
3. Of These Candidates — 0% model odds
4. Janine Hansen — 0% model odds
5. Chris Cunningham — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts