New Jersey Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andy Kim an 89% chance of winning the New Jersey Senate 2024 primary. Andy Kim won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andy Kim — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Curtis Bashaw — 11% model odds
  3. Christina Khalil — 0% model odds
  4. Kenneth Kaplan — 0% model odds
  5. Patricia Mooneyham — 0% model odds
  6. Joanne Kuniansky — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts