New Hampshire Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kelly Ayotte a 17% chance of winning the New Hampshire Governor 2024 primary. Kelly Ayotte won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kelly Ayotte — 17% model odds (won)
  2. Chuck Morse — 17% model odds
  3. Shaun Fife — 17% model odds
  4. Robert Mcclory — 17% model odds
  5. Frank Staples — 17% model odds
  6. Richard Mcmenamon — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts