Nebraska Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Deb Fischer a 52% chance of winning the Nebraska Senate 2024 primary. Deb Fischer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Deb Fischer — 52% model odds (won)
  2. Pete Ricketts — 38% model odds
  3. Arron Kowalski — 4% model odds
  4. Mac Stevens — 4% model odds
  5. John Glen Weaver — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts