Nebraska Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Deb Fischer a 61% chance of winning the Nebraska Senate 2024 primary. Pete Ricketts (Inc.) won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Deb Fischer — 61% model odds
  2. Pete Ricketts (Inc.) — 35% model odds (won)
  3. Dan Osborn — 3% model odds
  4. Preston Love Jr. — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts