North Dakota Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kelly Armstrong Michelle Strinden a 100% chance of winning the North Dakota Governor 2024 primary. Kelly Armstrong Michelle Strinden won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kelly Armstrong Michelle Strinden — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Merrill Piepkorn Patrick Hart — 0% model odds
  3. Michael Coachman Lydia Gessele — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts