North Carolina Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Robinson a 33% chance of winning the North Carolina Governor 2024 primary. Mark Robinson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Robinson — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Dale Folwell — 33% model odds
  3. Bill Graham — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts