Montana Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jon Tester a 56% chance of winning the Montana Senate 2024 primary. Tim Sheehy won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Jon Tester — 56% model odds
- Tim Sheehy — 44% model odds (won)
- Sid Daoud — 0% model odds
- Robert Barb — 0% model odds