Montana Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Gianfortekristen Juras an 88% chance of winning the Montana Governor 2024 primary. Greg Gianfortekristen Juras won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Gianfortekristen Juras — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Tanner Smith Randy Pinocci — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts