Montana Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Gianfortekristen Juras a 67% chance of winning the Montana Governor 2024 primary. Greg Gianfortekristen Juras won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Gianfortekristen Juras — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Ryan Busseraph Graybill — 33% model odds
  3. Kaiser Leibmatt Campbell — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts