Missouri Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Kehoe an 11% chance of winning the Missouri Governor 2024 primary. Mike Kehoe won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Kehoe — 11% model odds (won)
  2. Bill Eigel — 11% model odds
  3. Jay Ashcroft — 11% model odds
  4. Amber Thomsen — 11% model odds
  5. Chris Wright — 11% model odds
  6. Darrell Mcclanahan — 11% model odds
  7. Robert Olson — 11% model odds
  8. Jeremy Gundel — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts