Missouri Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Kehoe a 68% chance of winning the Missouri Governor 2024 primary. Mike Kehoe won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Kehoe — 68% model odds (won)
  2. Crystal Quade — 32% model odds
  3. Bill Slantz — 0% model odds
  4. Paul Lehmann — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts