Minnesota Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Amy Klobuchar an 83% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate 2024 primary. Amy Klobuchar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Amy Klobuchar — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Steve Carlson — 4% model odds
  3. Ahmad Hassan — 4% model odds
  4. Ole Savior — 4% model odds
  5. George Kalberer — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts