Maine Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Demi Kouzounas a 56% chance of winning the Maine Senate 2024 primary. Angus King won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Demi Kouzounas — 56% model odds
  2. Angus King — 44% model odds (won)
  3. David Costello — 0% model odds
  4. Jason Cherry — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts