Maryland Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Trone a 52% chance of winning the Maryland Senate 2024 primary. Angela Alsobrooks won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- David Trone — 52% model odds
- Angela Alsobrooks — 7% model odds (won)
- Joseph Perez — 5% model odds
- Michael Cobb — 5% model odds
- Brian Frydenborg — 5% model odds
- Scottie Griffin — 5% model odds
- Marcellus Crews — 5% model odds
- Andrew Wildman — 5% model odds