Indiana Governor 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Braun Micah Beckwith an 83% chance of winning the Indiana Governor 2024 primary. Mike Braun Micah Beckwith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Braun Micah Beckwith — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Jennifer Mccormick Terry Goodin — 17% model odds
  3. Donald Rainwater Tonya Hudson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts