Hawaii Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mazie Hirono a 92% chance of winning the Hawaii Senate 2024 primary. Mazie Hirono won, matching the model's top pick.
- Mazie Hirono — 92% model odds (won)
- Clyde Lewman — 5% model odds
- Ron Curtis — 3% model odds