Florida Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rick Scott a 90% chance of winning the Florida Senate 2024 primary. Rick Scott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rick Scott — 90% model odds (won)
  2. Keith Gross — 6% model odds
  3. John Columbus — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts